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On December 16, the Federal Reserve Board stated it intends to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at zero to 0.25 percent until the unemployment rate lowers and inflation has risen to two percent steadily. While the Board notes that “[o]verall financial conditions remain accommodative,” and “[e]conomic activity and employment have continued to recover,” the Covid-19 pandemic has still caused tremendous economic hardship that has left overall economic levels “well below their levels at the beginning of the year.” According to the Board, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is seeking to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of two percent over the longer run before adjusting the current monetary policy. Additionally, the Board notes that it will continue to increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $80 billion per month and of agency mortgage-backed securities by at least $40 billion per month. FOMC will monitor the economic outlook and is prepared “to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee’s goals.”
On December 14, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced that it had voted unanimously to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 0.5 to 0.75 percent – marking only the second rate hike since the financial crisis. According to a statement released by the FOMC, Committee members attributed the increase to consistent economic growth, in particular strong job gains, throughout 2016. Projections released yesterday include accelerated growth over the next few years, which suggest a series of additional rate hikes throughout 2017. The Committee continued to stress, however, that future rate hikes will “depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.” A transcript of Fed Chair Yellen’s press conference opening remarks can be found here.
As part of implementing the rate hike, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, effective December 15, will conduct overnight reverse repurchase operations at an offering rate of 0.50 percent, with a per-counterparty limit of $30 billion per day. The regional bank’s Open Market Trading Desk estimates approximately $2 trillion of Treasury securities in its account will be available for these operations.
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- Buckley Webcast: What’s next for privacy and data security in 2021 and beyond?