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Director Thompson outlines FHFA’s efforts to promote housing access and affordability
On April 18, Sandra L. Thompson, Director of the FHFA, addressed the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, emphasizing FHFA’s role in promoting access to affordable housing for homebuyers and renters nationwide through the regulation and supervision of its regulated entities—Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal Home Loan Bank System—to ensure they meet their housing mission. Acknowledging the reforms implemented by FHFA over the past 15 years, which have strengthened the financial conditions of regulated entities, and FHFA’s ongoing review of the FHLBank System, Thompson outlined the agency’s efforts to address barriers to affordable and sustainable housing. Her recommendations include amending the Bank Act to expand the range of member institutions eligible to pledge community financial institution (CFI) collateral in order to secure affordable FHLBank advances to include all Community Development Financial Institutions and credit union members, and increasing the statutorily required minimum funding contribution for the Affordable Housing Program from 10 percent to at least 20 percent of FHLBank net income from the previous year. Thompson further highlighted FHFA’s efforts to address appraisal bias and improve data to promote equitable valuations, reduce costs associated with title verification, and codify the requirements that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac maintain Equitable Housing Finance Plans, among other initiatives. Thompson concluded her remarks by discussing FHFA’s ongoing credit score initiative, which seeks to transition Fannie Mae’s and Freddie Mac’s use of Classic FICO to the use of the more inclusive FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 models, alongside shifting from tri-merge to bi-merge credit reports.
Utah amends credit report disclosures to protect consumers
On March 13, the Governor of Utah signed into law HB 99, a bill that amended certain provisions related to consumer credit protections. Specifically, the bill made an addition to the Credit Services Organizations Act at Utah Code 13-21-7.5, adding a disclosure requirement when a credit services organization provides a credit report to a consumer. The disclosure must identify the consumer reporting agency that provided the information, the credit score model used to calculate the score, and the minimum and maximum possible scores under the model. This bill will go into effect May 1.
FHFA announces updates for implementation of GSE credit score requirements
On February 29, FHFA announced updates related to the implementation of new credit score requirements for single-family loans acquired by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae (GSEs). As previously covered by InfoBytes, FHFA released a two-phase plan for soliciting stakeholder input on the agency’s proposed process for updating credit score requirements. The new process, called the FICO 10T model, will, among other things, require two credit reports (a “bi-merge” credit report) from the national consumer reporting agencies, rather than the traditional three (covered by InfoBytes here). After considering stakeholder input, FHFA expects to transition from the Classic FICO credit score model to the bi-merge credit reporting requirement in Q1 2025. The GSEs will also move up the publication of VantageScore 4.0 historical data to Q3 2024 “to better support market participants” and provide pertinent historical data before the transition. FHFA will provide more details on the timing for FICO 10T implementation once this initial process is complete.
CFPB examines relationship between cashflow and serious delinquency
On July 26, the CFPB posted a blog entry explaining that cashflow data could be more telling in determining a person’s ability to repay their loans than credit reports, which are typically calculated through a variety of credit products such as mortgages, credit cards, auto loans, and student loans. The Bureau referenced its July 2020 Making Ends Meet Survey (covered by InfoBytes here), which was sampled off the Consumer Credit Panel, in order to “show that three self-reported proxies for cashflow appear predictive of serious delinquency, even when analyzing people with similar traditional credit scores.” The proxies include high accumulated savings, regularly saving and no overdrafts, and paying bills on time. While accounting for deficiencies such as sample size, the Bureau’s analysis showed that individuals with self-reported positive cash flow perform notably better than those with less positive cash flow, even with similar credit scores. Other findings include that individuals with higher credit scores are more likely to report (i) relatively high accumulated savings, which the Bureau defined as at least $3,000 across their checking and savings accounts; (ii) positive savings and no overdrafts; and (iii) no issues paying rent, mortgage, utilities, and regular household expenses. All three findings are also indicative of a reduced likelihood of serious delinquency, the Bureau found. According to the blog entry, the analysis “suggests that cashflow data may help lenders better identify borrowers with low likelihood of serious delinquency, even if these borrowers’ credit scores may have otherwise prevented them from receiving credit.”
FHFA seeks feedback on updated credit score requirements
On March 23, FHFA announced a two-phase plan for soliciting stakeholder input on the agency’s proposed process for implementing updated credit score requirements. In October, FHFA announced that the FICO credit score model would be replaced by the FICO 10T and the VantageScore 4.0 credit score models, which were both validated and approved for use by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (covered by InfoBytes here). The agency also announced that Fannie and Freddie will now require two credit reports – instead of three – from the national consumer reporting agencies for single-family loan acquisitions. FHFA seeks public input on the projected implementation process to inform the transition to these new credit score models, which the agency estimates will happen in two phases. Phase one, estimated to start Q3 2024, will include the delivery and disclosure of additional credit scores, while phase two will include the incorporation of the new credit score models in pricing, capital, and other processes (estimated to occur in Q4 2025).
CFPB releases data on pandemic credit scores
On January 25, the CFPB released a blog post on credit score transitions during the Covid-19 pandemic. Using data available to the Bureau, the agency examined the transitions of consumers across credit score tiers using a commercially available credit score. According to the Bureau, the data used quarterly snapshots from June 2010 through June 2022 of the Consumer Credit Panel (CCP), which is a 1-in-48 deidentified longitudinal sample of credit records from one of the nationwide consumer reporting agencies. The Bureau assigned consumers to five credit score bins : deep subprime (300-579); subprime (580-619); near-prime (620-659); prime (660-719); and superprime (720-850). For each quarter of the CCP through June 2021, the Bureau assigned consumers a credit score bin reflecting their credit score, and a score bin reflecting their credit score 12 months in the future. The Bureau reported that transitions out of the subprime credit score tier was more common during the pandemic. Before the pandemic, 37 percent of consumers with subprime credit scores remained in the subprime tier after one year, and 26 percent dropped to the deep subprime tier. The Bureau also found that of consumers with near-prime credit scores, 24 percent transitioned to a lower tier before the pandemic, compared to 21 percent after the pandemic. Because prime credit scores are important to access lower-cost credit, the increasing number of transitions out of subprime credit scores is one factor that led to increased access to credit during the pandemic. Nevertheless, the Bureau warned that a higher credit score may not be enough to offset rising costs for goods purchased on credit.
FTC takes action against debt relief operation
On November 30, the FTC announced an action against three individuals and their affiliated companies (collectively, “defendants”) for allegedly participating together in a credit card debt relief scheme since 2019. The FTC alleged in its complaint that the company violated the FTC Act and the Telemarketing Sales Rule (TSR) by using telemarketers to call consumers and pitch their deceptive scheme, falsely claiming to be affiliated with a particular credit card association, bank, or credit reporting agency and promising they could improve consumers’ credit scores after 12 to 18 months. The defendants also allegedly misrepresented that the upfront fee, which in some cases was as high as $18,000, was charged to consumers’ credit cards as part of the overall debt that would be eliminated, and therefore consumers would not actually have to pay this fee. The District Court for the Middle District of Tennessee granted the Commission’s request to temporarily shut down the scheme operated by the defendants and froze their assets. The complaint requests, among other things, a permanent injunction to prevent future violations of the FTC Act and the TSR by the defendants.
FHFA announces validation of FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 for GSE use
On October 24, FHFA announced the validation and approval of both the FICO 10T credit score model and the VantageScore 4.0 credit score model for use by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (GSEs). The agency also announced that the GSEs will require two credit reports from the national consumer reporting agencies, rather than three. According to the announcement, FHFA expects implementation of FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 to be a multiyear effort, but once in place, lenders will be required to deliver both FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 credit scores with each loan sold to the GSEs. FHFA noted that FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 are more accurate than the classic FICO model because they include payment history for factors like rent, utilities, and telecommunications. FHFA also released a Fact Sheet on the newly approved models, which “will improve accuracy, strengthen access to credit, and enhance safety and soundness.”
CFPB examines potential impact of high vehicle costs on consumers with deep subprime credit scores
On September 28, the CFPB published a blog post examining the potential impact of high vehicle costs on borrowers with deep subprime credit scores (credit scores below 540). The findings follow a separate recent CFPB blog post, which explored the potential relationship between high vehicle costs and changes in auto loan characteristics and performance (covered by InfoBytes here). Pointing out that many lenders do not provide information on deep subprime auto loans to consumer reporting agencies (CRAs), the Bureau’s newest findings rely on a statistical database containing information on vehicles and vehicle loans pulled from various sources, including vehicle titles and registrations, auto lenders, and auto manufacturers. The Bureau found that the median value of vehicles purchased by consumers with deep subprime credit scores has increased by roughly 60 percent since 2019, as compared to only a 30 percent increase for consumers with prime credit scores. The Bureau expressed concern that many consumers with deep subprime credit scores have been priced out of the auto loan market, noting that “the rapid increase in vehicle prices has had the largest impacts on the most vulnerable consumers.” The Bureau will continue to monitor these trends, but said the lack of data on monthly payments or delinquency rates for auto loans that are not furnished to CRAs limits its ability to study affordability concerns.
CFPB examines relationship between high vehicle costs and loan performance
On September 19, the CFPB published a blog post exploring the potential relationship between high vehicle costs and changes in auto loan characteristics and performance, particularly with respect to consumers with near-prime or subprime credit scores. The Bureau reported that the average vehicle price increased over the past two years, particularly throughout 2021, and that data from the Bureau’s Consumer Credit Panel showed that an increase in the size of newly originated auto loans coincided with a spike in vehicle price. The blog post also highlighted a recent Federal Reserve Bank of New York report, which found that higher vehicle prices are a significant factor driving larger loan amounts. “The dollar value of outstanding auto loans increased by $33 billion between the first and second quarters of 2022 to $1.5 trillion outstanding,” the report said, noting that the increase “is due in large part to larger loan originations rather than by an increase in the number of loans.” The Bureau also reported that recent data has shown that delinquency rates, especially for low-income borrowers, has increased over the past year. While the Bureau said it cannot fully infer that the end of pandemic-related stimulus policies or inflationary pressures are possible explanations for the rise in delinquency rates, the agency said it “cannot ignore the relationship between larger loan amounts and increasing interest rates to consumer’s monthly budgets and some consumers’ struggle to stay current on their loans.” The Bureau stressed, however, that while current data provides insight into broad indicators, it “lacks the granularity to isolate specific economic trends or to fully explore the impact on subsets of consumers.” The agency said it will continue to seek data that allows for better visibility in this market and will remain focused on ensuring that the auto lending market is fair, transparent, and competitive.